Friday, September 12, 2025 - Nigeria’s millionaire population has shrunk by more than half over the past decade as macroeconomic instability, capital flight, naira devaluation, and weak financial markets eroded the country’s wealth base.
Once home to one of Africa’s fastest-growing pools of
high-net-worth individuals (HNWIs), Africa’s fourth-largest economy is now
struggling to retain and grow its affluent class even as smaller peers forge
ahead.
In 2014, Nigeria was estimated to have about $15,000
millionaires. By 2025, that number had fallen to around 7,200–a 53 percent
decline. The collapse of the naira is central to this story.
The currency has depreciated from about N160 to the U.S.
dollar in 2014 to around N1,530 today, a loss of almost 90 percent. For
individuals whose wealth was held in naira terms, every devaluation stripped
value in dollar terms, effectively pushing many out of the millionaire bracket.
As local wealth eroded, capital flight intensified. Affluent
Nigerians increasingly shifted assets abroad, channelling funds into havens
such as Dubai, London, and Mauritius. This was often accompanied by residency
or citizenship moves designed to safeguard assets from domestic volatility.
From several billion dollars in the mid-2010s, inflows
dwindled to less than $400 million in 2023, reflecting both domestic economic
headwinds and a loss of investor confidence. With fewer inflows and limited
domestic wealth creation opportunities, Nigeria’s millionaire pool thinned
while other markets attracted fresh capital.
The weakness of local capital markets compounded the
decline. The Nigerian Exchange, though more active since 2024, remains shallow
compared with Johannesburg or Cairo.
Wealth management services lag global standards, offering
few viable options to preserve and grow assets. Double-digit inflation and
persistently high interest rates have further discouraged long-term investment
at home, pushing many investors into hard assets or offshore vehicles.
The consequences extend beyond the wealthy themselves.
High-net-worth individuals provide a critical layer of capital for domestic
markets, often seeding businesses, financing infrastructure, and sustaining
demand for luxury property, financial services, and high-end consumption. Their
retreat reduces liquidity, dampens entrepreneurship, and deprives the economy
of patient capital that could otherwise accelerate development.
The offshoring of wealth effectively locks Nigeria into a
cycle where wealth is generated locally but retained abroad, leaving the
domestic economy undercapitalised.
Across Africa, the contrast is stark. South Africa remains
the continent’s leader with about 41,100 millionaires, while Egypt has
consolidated its position with 14,800, buoyed by large-scale infrastructure
spending and reform-driven inflows.
Morocco has built Casablanca into a regional financial hub,
drawing capital from across North and West Africa. Even smaller economies are
outperforming. Mauritius is projected to see 95 percent growth in millionaires
by 2033, supported by political stability and investment-friendly policies.
Rwanda’s steady services-led expansion is also creating new
wealth, while Seychelles, despite its size, now boasts the highest millionaire
density in Africa, with 0.51 percent of adults classified as millionaires.
Nigeria, by contrast, has become an outlier: the continent’s
most populous nation, yet one of the weakest in wealth retention. Its
millionaire decline is not just a story of currency collapse but of systemic
fragility in financial infrastructure, policy inconsistency, and investor
confidence.
The outlook remains cautious. Without exchange rate
stability, deeper capital markets, and reforms that incentivise local wealth
retention, Nigeria is unlikely to reverse the trend. Projections suggest the
country will continue to lag, even as peers consolidate their positions as
continental wealth hubs.
Yet Nigeria’s fundamentals — a large population,
entrepreneurial energy, and a fast-growing services sector — still provide the
raw materials for wealth creation. If macroeconomic stability is restored and
confidence rebuilt, the country could begin to regenerate its high-net-worth
ecosystem.
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